EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook
4H
EUR/AUD's retreat was continued at 1.4419 and recovered. The development argues that rebound from 1.3963 is not completed yet. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Break of 1.4893 will target 1.5331 resistance. On the downside, below 1.4419 will turn bias to the downside for 1.3963 support. Overall, the cross is bounded in consolidative pattern from 1.5831 and we'd possibly see more range trading ahead.
---------- Post added at 05:18 PM ---------- Previous post was at 03:50 AM ----------
D1
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5831 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.1602 medium term bottom. In case of deeper fall, strong support would likely be seen at 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.5831 at 1.3217 to bring resumption of rise from 1.1602 eventually.
---------- Post added at 05:40 PM ---------- Previous post was at 05:18 PM ----------
Weekly
In the longer term picture, the impulsive structure of the rise from 1.1602 bottom to 1.5831 suggests that it's just the first wave of either a three wave or a five wave sequence. That is, upon completion of the correction or consolidation from 1.5831, the rise from 1.1602 should resume. Based on current situation, 50% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.6365 is the key to determine underlying long term momentum.