GBP/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
Support: 180.18, 178.39, 177.28
Resistance: 181.64, 183.09, 184.88
The British Pound paused its advance against the Japanese Yen, issuing the largest decline in two weeks. Near-term resistance is at 180.64, the 50% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 61.8% level at 183.09. Alternatively, a push below the 38.2% Fib at 180.18 opens the door for a test of the 23.6% retracement at 178.39.
Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices in close proximity to support. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for a more actionable opportunity to present itself.
---------- Post added at 08:02 PM ---------- Previous post was at 07:31 PM ----------
The pair failed to break above 181.40 so far, and is showing a slight bearish bias affected by the negativity of RSI and MACD, but Linear Regression Indicators are still positive so we favor the upside move in the coming period, while breaching 181.40 pushes the pair towards 184.55 mainly. The bullish extension depends on stabilizing above 178.85.
---------- Post added at 08:06 PM ---------- Previous post was at 08:02 PM ----------
Support 180.25 179.90 178.85 177.85 177.50
Resistance 181.40 181.80 182.85 183.70 184.55
Recommendation
Positive expectations above 181.40, risk-limit below 180.25.
---------- Post added at 08:15 PM ---------- Previous post was at 08:06 PM ----------
With the recent leap into the pair prices, the horizontal support turned resistance, at 181, comes again into play and a possible break of the same can be expected considering the GBP strength and a steady rise of RSI. Should it closes above 181, the pair can immediately rally towards 182.30 before testing the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement of its October December 2014 up-move, near 184.50, with 183.30 could provide intermediate resistance to the pair. Given the pair becomes unable to close above 181, 100-day SMA, near 180.30 is likely immediate support for the pair, breaking which 178.80 178.75, encompassing 50% Fibo, is likely support before the pair falls to 61.8% Fibo. near 176.30 support.