GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.45; (P) 135.91; (R1) 136.39;
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment and current rally is expected to continue to next key resistance level at 140.02. On the downside, below 134.22 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat. But break of 132.44 resistance turned support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, we'll stay bullish in the cross.
In the bigger picture, at this point, we'd like to maintain that price actions from 116.83 (2011 low) are corrective in nature so far. Rise from 118.82 could be the third leg of the pattern from 116.83 and is still in progress. After all, the likely scenario is that we'll see more range trading between 116.83 and 140.02 (50% retracement of 163.05 to 116.83 at 139.94) ahead, before an eventual downside breakout. We'll favor this view as long as 140.02 resistance holds. Nonetheless, sustained break of 140.02 will indicate that rise from 116.83 is at least a move at the same degree as fall from 163.05 and thus stronger medium term rise would then be seen back to this level.