Thread: Oil
If a M15 close above 88 buy only and do not sell. If price closes back below it again do nothing.
If a M15 close below 86 sell only and do not buy. If price closes back above it again do nothing
The range 88 and 86 is neutral area, any trade done in between is personal decision and not part of this analysis
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A break below current support exposes the 61.8% Fib at $85.09, while the 38.2% level has been recast as near-term resistance.
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Futures tracking the benchmark equity index are pointing lower in overnight trade, hinting at the return of risk aversion and threatening to weigh on the WTI contact.
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The appreciation of USD against the Euro and AUD seems to affect major commodities prices including oil prices. Currently the USD is traded up against EURO and AUD. If this trend will continue throughout the day, it may affect oil prices as well to trade down.
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sharply inclined by 2.93% to $85.41/b; Brent also rose by 2.61% to $105.87/b; during October WTI rose by 4.32% and Brent by 3.04%.
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results from firms including Bank of America and Goldman Sachs set to cross the wires. US PPI data and API weekly inventory figures are also on tap.
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S&P 500 stock index futures have now erased overnight gains and trade broadly flat heading into the opening bell on Wall Street, pointing to an uncertain and potentially fragile outlook for the WTI contract.
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I expect downtrend movement toward the major support at 83.70 $ for a barrel. All the three MA's resist the price, the other indicators do not send clear signals
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pointing to ebbing conviction behind bullish momentum and hinting a reversal lower may be ahead. Initial support lines up at $83.65, with a break below that exposing $79.58.
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Rumors making the rounds on the newswires ahead of the sit-down hint a plan is taking shape to funnel emerging-market funding via the IMF into troubled EU countries, which is broadly supportive for risk appetite and crude alike.
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