Daily Pivots: (S1) 98.17; (P) 98.67; (R1) 99.40
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rebound fro 94.11 short term bottom should extend to 38.2% retracement of 111.43 to 94.11 at 110.72 next. On the downside, below 97.96 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first.
In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of reversal yet and the downtrend from 2008 high of 169.96 could extend further lower to 90 psychological level. However, as we're favoring the case that pattern from 139.21 is a falling wedge with bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 111.43 should be the last leg in such pattern. Hence, we'll expect strong support above 88.96 to contain downside, form a major bottom and bring reversal. So, focus will remain on reversal signal. Meanwhile, break of 101.62 resistance will be an early sign of medium-term bottoming and will turn focus back to 111.43 key resistance for confirmation.


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