EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.83; (P) 110.50; (R1) 111.08;
EUR/JPY faced some resistance ahead of 111.43 ad retreated mildly. With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations. But downside of retreat should be contained by 105.97/107.95 support zone and bring another rally. Break of 111.43 will have larger bullish implications and should 161.8% projection of 94.11 to 104.58 from 100.32 at 117.26.
In the bigger picture, we're favoring the case that whole down trend from 169.96 (2008 high) has completed at 94.11 already, on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. The sustained break above 55 weeks EMA affirmed this view. Break of 111.43 resistance will confirm this bullish case and bring further medium term rise to 123.31 (38.2% retracement of 169.96 to 94.11 at 123.08) and above. And, we'd favor this bullish scenario as long as 104.58 resistance turned support holds.


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