EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.37; (P) 131.84; (R1) 132.14; More
EUR/JPY falls sharply to as low as 129.83 so far today and the break of 130.28 minor support suggests that rebound from 127.96 has completed. Intraday bias back on the downside for 127.96 support first. Overall outlook is that consolidation pattern from 133.80 top is still in progress. Break of 127.96 will suggests that the third leg of the pattern has started and should target 124.95. In case of another rise, we'd expect strong resistance below 133.80 to bring another fall to extend the consolidation.
In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 94.11 has topped out at 133.80 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Consolidation from there could extend with another fall to target 119.10 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 94.11 to 133.80 at 118.63). Strong support would be seen there, at least on initial attempt. But, break will target 61.8% retracement at 109.27. Nonetheless, considering the five wave structure of the rise from 94.11, we'd expect another medium term rally after completing the correction.


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