Thread: Aud/Usd
The pair has set a new trend downward wave, today the course was able to strengthen the strong figures below 1.0000 which opened before the bears virtually unobstructed path to the 9900 and 9840, the market is a clear trend to strengthen the dollar is only dodast confidence bears.
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aud/usd market analysis by using : average directional movement index
adx : 28.9476
+di : 18.1263
-di : 22.8655
date : 13.05.2013
timeframe : 1 hour
time : 1400
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i am interesting to sell this pair @ 0.9988
my stop loss of the day @ 1.0012
half take profit for today @ 0.9957
and half @ 0.9937
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AUD/USD intraday: caution.
Pivot: 0.992
Our preference: Long positions above 0.992 with targets @ 1.004 & 1.0095 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.992 look for further downside with 0.9885 & 0.983 as targets.
Comment: intraday technical indicators are mixed and call for caution.
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After the AUD / USD broke below $ 1.00 for the first time since last June, Marc Chandler, chief analyst at BBH Currency, expected technical bounce now "to alleviate the over-extended technical conditions that could see the Aussie trade toward $ 1.0070 - $ 1.0100 "he said. After correction, "we look forward to Aussie to test the trend line drawn from the 2011 low and 2012, which comes in near $ 0.9800 $ 0.9850 today and at the end of the quarter."
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Aud/usd pivot levels by using fibonacci pivot indicator.
r3: 1.0165
r2: 1.0113
r1: 1.0081
pivot : 1.0028
s1: 0.9976
s2: 0.9944
s3: 0.9891
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Pivot levels today:
R3: 1.0214
R2: 1.0155
R1: 1.0079
PP: 1.0020
S1: 0.9943
S2: 0.9883
S3: 0.9809
Comment: Price now is below the daily and weekly pivot levels, also it is below the 55 SMA, so more fall is expcted.
Forecast: Price may fall to 0.9883.
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very strong bearish mode is confirmed by both of signals of Accumulated Oscilator (AO), Relative Vigor Index (RVI) and Gator Oscilators simultantly which are below zero line or negative value as indication for strong drive for downtrend movement from 0.9986 then fast stochastic line is intersecting slow stochastic line bottom upward near buy border level 20 as bullish is starting as reversal
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AUDUSD,H1
Date 2013.05.13
Time 03:00
Spoiler:
Open 0.9984
High 0.9998
Low 0.9976
Close 0.9997
Volume 118
SMA(5) 1.0003
SMA(10) 1.0005
SMA(20) 1.0018
SMA(50) 1.0107
SMA(100) 1.0148
SAR 1.0029
Indicator window 1
Stoch(5,3,3) 20.8000
Signal 27.3121
Indicator window 2
RSI(14) 36.8232
Indicator window 3
MACD(12,26,9) -0.00283
Signal -0.00326
Indicator window 4
%R(14) -47.0588
based on combination of indicators above,
trend : NEUTRAL
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the pair will go to down way to the down trend line i see the pair will go to down way to 1.9902 so our target sell from 1.0002 and our target will 100ips
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