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Thread: Aud/Usd

     
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    2025-07-01   12:56
    Best post today #1

    व्यापक विश्लेषण के आधार पर ट्रेडिंग
    aud/usd
    सभी को नमस्कार! ऑस्ट्रेलियाई डॉलर/अमेरिकी डॉलर की जोड़ी कल स्पष्ट दिशा पाने के लिए संघर्ष करती रही, लेकिन खरीदारों ने अंततः ताकत जुटाई और कीमत को ऊपर धकेल दिया, जो 0.6584 के स्तर पर पहुंच गई। आज, कीमत 0.6554 से ऊपर समेकित हुई। इस स्तर ने अब एक स्पष्ट खरीद प्रवेश बिंदु बना लिया है, खरीदार वर्तमान में कीमत को 0.6599 के अगले प्रतिरोध स्तर की ओर ले जा रहे हैं। 0.6599 से ऊपर एक पुष्ट ब्रेक और समेकन एक निरंतर ऊपर की ओर बढ़ने का संकेत देगा। जैसा कि कहा गया है, हम इस बात से इनकार नहीं कर सकते कि विक्रेता संभावित रूप से 0.6554 समर्थन स्तर की ओर विपरीत दिशा में कदम बढ़ा सकते हैं। हालाँकि, मुझे अभी तक इस तरह के मंदी के रिवर्सल की पुष्टि करने के लिए कोई ठोस संकेत नहीं दिख रहा है, इसलिए इस स्तर पर जल्दबाजी में कोई भी व्यापारिक निर्णय लेना जल्दबाजी होगी।


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    2025-07-02   14:30
    Best post today #2
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    2 जुलाई, 2025 के लिए aud/usd का पूर्वानुमान

    साप्ताहिक चार्ट पर, ऑस्ट्रेलियाई डॉलर ने एम्बेडेड प्राइस चैनल लाइन और macd लाइन द्वारा बनाए गए बहुत मजबूत प्रतिरोध को तोड़ दिया है, विशेष रूप से उनके चौराहे के बिंदु पर। औपचारिक रूप से, यह 0.6650 और यहां तक ​​कि 0.6750 पर लक्ष्य खोलता है - अगली प्राइस चैनल लाइन। हालांकि, सब कुछ कल के अमेरिकी रोजगार डेटा पर निर्भर करता है।



    नॉनफार्म पेरोल का पूर्वानुमान 120,000 है, जो मई में 139,000 से कम है, और बेरोजगारी दर 4.2% से बढ़कर 4.3% होने की उम्मीद है। हम बेहतर आंकड़ों की उम्मीद नहीं करते हैं, क्योंकि बेरोजगारों की संख्या सप्ताह दर सप्ताह बढ़ रही है। लेकिन एक बड़ी चेतावनी है - डेटा को अधिक अनुकूल दिखने के लिए आसानी से "समायोजित" किया जा सकता है।
    हमने कुछ समय से नॉनफार्म डेटा में हेराफेरी नहीं देखी है, लेकिन बिडेन के राष्ट्रपति पद के दौरान, वे आवश्यक नहीं थे। आम तौर पर, इस तरह की हेराफेरी मुश्किल आर्थिक समय और मजबूत नेतृत्व के दौरान होती है। हम बराक ओबामा के पहले कार्यकाल के दौरान डेटा में हेराफेरी को याद करते हैं (दूसरे कार्यकाल के लिए एक गहन ऐतिहासिक समीक्षा की आवश्यकता होगी, लेकिन यहाँ यह अनावश्यक है), और अब हम एक समान राजनीतिक और आर्थिक पृष्ठभूमि देख रहे हैं।


    तकनीकी दृष्टिकोण से, aud/usd में हाल ही में हुई दो दिवसीय वृद्धि मजबूत प्रतिरोध का एक गलत ब्रेकआउट साबित हो सकती है। कीमत 0.6394–0.6446 रेंज पर वापस आ सकती है और अंततः 0.6262 तक नीचे आ सकती है। इसी तरह की एक गलत चाल - इस बार नीचे की ओर - अप्रैल 2024 में हुई (एक ग्रे आयत द्वारा चिह्नित), जब लक्ष्य स्तर, macd रेखा और मूल्य चैनल रेखा सभी का उल्लंघन किया गया था।
    दैनिक चार्ट पर, कीमत मूल्य चैनल रेखा से ऊपर समेकित हो गई है, जबकि मार्लिन ऑसिलेटर शून्य रेखा की ओर वापस मुड़ रहा है। सबसे अधिक संभावना है कि कीमत और ऑसिलेटर दोनों ही इन तटस्थ तकनीकी रेखाओं पर कल के यू.एस. ब्यूरो ऑफ लेबर डेटा रिलीज़ से मिलेंगे।


    h4 चार्ट पर, कीमत पहले से ही कल के 0.6557 के निचले स्तर से नीचे जाने पर विचार कर रही है, जो 0.6522 पर macd लाइन पर हमले के लिए जमीन तैयार करेगी। उल्लेखनीय रूप से, यह रेखा दैनिक चार्ट पर अपने मूल्य के साथ संरेखित होती है, जो इसके महत्व को और मजबूत करती है। यह समर्थन भी मजबूत है, और कल विजेता का निर्धारण करेगा।
    *यहां पर लिखा गया बाजार विश्लेषण आपकी जागरूकता बढ़ाने के लिए किया है, लेकिन व्यापार करने के लिए निर्देश देने के लिए नहीं |

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  2. #9455
    Senior Member Joey11 is on a distinguished road Joey11's Avatar
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    Te dollar is really strong at this moment and this push this pair to go very dovn , and the direction will continue to downside in the next few days . in the next week i expect to this pair to go directly to 0.71

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    aussie is trading nicely lower for the last fout weeks,clearly in impusive manner. we are tracking a big extended re wave3 that can be targeting .7200 area in days ahead.

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    After a sharp fall yesterday during the cross corrected this movement to over 50% today. News on Friday will focus exclusively on US indicators which should result in stagnation of course during the night and probably until the opening of US markets.

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    Australian dollar against the US dollar shows some upside bias slightly to near a retest of 0.7415 test, where the price is affected positively Stochastic, while still bearish scenario exists with the support of the 50 EMA, which depends mainly on the stability below 0.7560 and 0.7610 levels .

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    the AUDUSD was very stable today. but the most important is the comodity prices still very low in the market which can have a very big impcat on Australian dollar , so i think this pair will continue to rally to down.

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    Australian dollar versus the US dollar ended the day yesterday passively notable for breaking the level of 0.7415 and stabilizing below it again, reinforcing expectations of continued overall downward trend, which targets 0.7100 key level next station.

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    The australian dollar was very poor today and push this pair to go very low until 0.7350 realizing a new support. in general this pair still bearish and it will continue to be bearish in the next days.

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    SMA 50 continues to form a barrier in front of a good resistance to attempts by the Australian dollar against the US dollar positive, which keeps the negative pressure in place until now, supported by the negativity on Stochastic, waiting to go about the level of 0.7100 mainly.

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    pair- aud/usd
    time frame- m15

    technical analysis-



    the price and the rsi indicator is making lower to low. this is also break the support at 0.7430 level. the parabolic sar is also in the down trend side and may moved to the 0.7400 level. short with stop loss at the 0.7475
    good luck.

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    The US dollar has witnessed yesterday the issuance of core retail sales, which declined by 0.1% on monthly level other than completely expectations and which was monitored to rise by 0.7% on the same level as non-retail sales recorded a basic also lower by 0.3% at the monthly level and Unlike expectations and which was monitored by a 0.2% rise on the same level as the import price index fell by 0.1% on monthly level compared to expectations and that were monitored rising by 0.1% on the same level today at 3:30 pm GMT awaiting the issuance of markets core producer prices and the expectations index suggests rising by 0.1% on monthly level and it will be accompanied by the release of the producer price index of non-essential and is forecast to rise by 0.2% on the same level and also at the same time will be issued Empire State Manufacturing index is forecast to rise from 2.0- to 3.4 on monthly level in at 4:15 pm, the growth rate will be issued in the industrial production sector and is forecast to grow by 0.2% on monthly level and finally at exactly five o'clock in the afternoon will be a date with Janet Yellin certificate Fed governor

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