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Thread: Usd/Jpy

     
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    2025-08-19   12:56
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    usd/jpy का आउटलुक
    सभी को नमस्कार! डॉलर/येन जोड़ी के चार्ट पर, अपट्रेंड का कोण — या, जैसा कि मैं इसे कहता हूँ, "अटैक एंगल" — एक मजबूत निरंतरता पर भरोसा करना बहुत कठिन लगता है, हालाँकि इस तरह की किसी भी चाल की संभावना को पूरी तरह से नकारा नहीं जा सकता। अगर आज हम इस जोड़ी को नीले परिदृश्य का अनुसरण करते हुए चैनल की ऊपरी सीमा 148.14 की ओर बढ़ते हुए देखते हैं, तो मैं इसे पहले से ही तेज़ड़ियों का एक ठोस प्रयास मान लूँगा। फिर भी, नीचे एक अनिवार्य समर्थन क्षेत्र की उपस्थिति और तेज़ी के रुझान का संकेत देने वाले स्तरों के बावजूद, रुझान का कोण अत्यधिक तीखा बना हुआ है, और चैनल की ऊपरी सीमा विस्तार की कम संभावना दिखाती है। इस कारण से, मुझे उम्मीद है कि कीमत में गिरावट आएगी, अगर लाल परिदृश्य से तुरंत नहीं, तो नीले रास्ते से 147.10 और उससे अधिक गहराई तक।


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    2025-08-18   12:05
    Best post today #2

    usd/jpy का आउटलुक
    सभी को नमस्कार! डॉलर/येन जोड़ी के चार्ट पर, मैं ईमानदारी से यह नहीं समझ पा रहा हूँ कि बाज़ार अभी किस ओर झुक रहा है। आज नए स्तर के सेटअप के साथ, यह जोड़ी किसी भी दिशा में जा सकती है: लाल परिदृश्य के अनुरूप 146.72 की निचली चैनल सीमा के नीचे गिरावट या नीले परिदृश्य के अनुरूप 148.06 की ऊपरी सीमा की ओर ब्रेकआउट। दोनों ही रास्ते संभव प्रतीत होते हैं, हालाँकि नीला वाला थोड़ा ज़्यादा विश्वसनीय लगता है। फिर भी, usd/jpy को कम से कम अपेक्षित कदम उठाने की आदत है, और आज जैसी स्थिति में, यह फिर से उसी दिशा में जा सकता है। जहाँ तक मेरी बात है, मैंने इंतज़ार करो और देखो का रास्ता चुना है।


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    2025-08-14   12:31
    Best post today #3

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    USD/JPY
    सभी को नमस्कार! कमज़ोर डॉलर की पृष्ठभूमि में, लगभग सभी मुद्राओं में सुधार जारी है। कई लोग पुतिन-ट्रम्प की मुलाक़ात को ट्रम्प की कमजोरी के संकेत के रूप में देखते हैं, जो अमेरिकी मुद्रा में गिरावट के पीछे एक कारण हो सकता है। कल, मैंने शायद कहा होगा कि हमें इतना निराशावादी नहीं होना चाहिए, लेकिन आज, तीसरी दैनिक लहर को 146.900 के साप्ताहिक समर्थन स्तर को तोड़ते हुए देखकर, मेरा मानना है कि अमेरिकी डॉलर/जापानी येन जोड़ी के 145.950-146.000 के स्तरों से घिरे साप्ताहिक समर्थन क्षेत्र की ओर नीचे की ओर बढ़ते रहने की उम्मीद करना काफी उचित है। इस समय, आज इस जोड़ी को खरीदना उचित नहीं लगता, इसलिए मेरा मानना है कि बेअर्स स्थिति का फायदा उठाकर, कीमत को 145.950 के लक्ष्य स्तर की ओर धकेलते रहेंगे। विशुद्ध तकनीकी दृष्टिकोण से, दैनिक और 4-घंटे के चार्ट, दोनों ही विक्रेताओं के पक्ष में हैं, और ऐसे में, मैं आज USD/JPY में और भी कमजोरी की उम्मीद करूँगा।


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    2025-08-13   14:02
    Best post today #4
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    usd/jpy का विश्लेषण
    सभी को नमस्कार! Usd/jpy चार्ट पर, एक पीला तकनीकी चैनल है जिसके आज लाल परिदृश्य के बाद नीचे की ओर टूटने की पूरी संभावना है। इससे पहले, हमने लगातार दो बार इसे तोड़ने की कोशिश की थी, लेकिन वे सफल नहीं हुए। आज, तीसरे प्रयास में, क्यों न नीचे की ओर दबाव डाला जाए - उदाहरण के लिए, 147.02 क्षेत्र की ओर। यह स्तर सीधे लेवल्स इंडिकेटर से आता है, जहां हमारे पास चैनल की निचली सीमा है।
    मैं नीले विकल्प को भी खारिज नहीं करूँगा क्योंकि अभी भी ऊपर जाने की कुछ गुंजाइश है। हालाँकि, जैसा कि मैंने ऊपर बताया, मैं उस विकल्प के लिए कोई ट्रेड नहीं करूँगा। हम इंतज़ार करेंगे और देखेंगे।


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  2. #101
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    Quote Originally Posted by niteshforex View Post
    Currently USD / JPY is showing Down-Trend due to the weakening yen, but will be expected to sideways movement along the positive data from Japan and the strengthening dollar.
    Sideways Range 77.21 - 76.63.
    The Dollar has remained trading on a steady downward trend since peaking at 80.25 last Thursday, retracing all the ground gained after BoJ intervention and extending losses on Wednesday
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    Currently USD / JPY is showing Down-Trend due to the weakening yen, but will be expected to sideways movement along the positive data from Japan and the strengthening dollar.
    Sideways Range 77.21 - 76.63.

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    The pair approaches record low at 76.28, although, according to Slobodan Drvenica, analyst at Windsor Brokers, the pair might bounce up ahead of further decline: "Record low at 76.28 now comes in focus, however, possible bounce on oversold near-term studies may precede fresh weakness
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    The Japanese yen has recovered all of its losses against its American counterpart, after only three trading sessions following last week’s BoJ intervention. After opening the Asian trade at 77.75, USD/JPY broke below support at 77.50 and is now extending its losses into the 77.30 price zone.

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    the pair has closed under 78.00 , that's mean the down trend is expected and the pair might head to 77.20 then 77.00 , however the pair made a hourly correction

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    we would not at all be surprised to see the formation of a material base in favor of significant upside back towards the 82.00 area over the coming sessions. In the interim, any intraday setbacks should now be well supported above 78.00.

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    Pair within a very narrow range since the morning, while the index AROON - a trend indicator - still reflects the strength of the patch, which began at 76.25. And we will not consider this patch only if the penetration level of 78.45 decisively.

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    The USD/JPY will remain bearish as long as below 78.50, yet needs to lose again 78.10 to resume its long term bearish trend, and retest the 76.20/40 price zone, says Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXstreet.com. Intervention rise has price now below the 50% retracement at mentioned 78.50.

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    Break would bring 76.84, where correction is possible. Then 76.52, where a correction may also happen. Break of the latter will give 76.33. If a strong impulse, we would see 76.17. Continuation would give 75.91,” he adds.

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    The spot rate approaches the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel to 80.20. A break of these levels would free up significant potential and initiate a bullish trend.

    According to previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will have broken its resistance in 80.20 with a 1st objective of 81.00, then 81.30. A break in 79.90 would invalidate this scenario.

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