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Thread: Whats your winning probability?

  1. #1
    Member asiaforexmentor has a spectacular aura about asiaforexmentor has a spectacular aura about asiaforexmentor has a spectacular aura about asiaforexmentor's Avatar
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    Whats your winning probability?

    Forex Coach Ezekiel Chew ask: Whats your winning probability?


    FOREX COACH Ezekiel Chew ask: Whats your Winning Probability?
    Do you have the answer to this question?
    If you dont, then probably you should NOT even trade.
    It is a very simple question that you should ask yourself before you take every trade.
    WHAT IS MY WINNING PROBABILITY FOR THIS TRADE?
    If it is anything lesser than 60%, skip the trade.
    You see it makes no sense at all for you to take a trade that has lesser than a 60% chance of winning.
    If its lesser than a 50% chance of winning, why even trade?
    You are bound to lose on that trade right?
    If it is a 50% chance of winning. You are betting on your luck.
    Thats gambling, that is NOT trading.
    If it is a 60% or higher chance of winning. And if you only take trades that have a 60% or higher chance of winning.
    Where do you think your account size will go? UP of course.
    Forex Coach Ezekiel Chew ask: Whats your winning probability?

    Having a 60% and higher winning probability for that trade means you have an edge over the market.
    You SHOULD consistently take trades that are over 60% chance of winning.
    But if on occasions where you take a trade that is a 50% chance of winning.
    You will spoil your entire game and your entire trading plan.
    That is because you are adding a random variable to your trades.
    And these random variables will disrupt your account growth.
    For example:
    Trader A) Out of 20 trades, he take trades that are only 60% or higher winning probability.
    Trader B) Out of 20 trades, he takes 10 trades that are of 60% or higher winning probability and 10 trades of lesser than 60% winning probability.
    Trader C) Out of 20 trades, he doesnt care about the winning probability. He just take trades when he likes it or just based on his gut feel.
    Forex Coach Ezekiel Chew ask: Whats your winning probability?

    Which trader do you think has a better chance of growing his forex account?
    Trader A of course!
    Which trader trades most like you?
    If you are at trader B or trader C stage, you should stop your trading now.
    And reflect on this.
    This vital question is something that you must ask yourself the next time you trade.
    What is my winning probability for this trade?
    Forex Coach: Ezekiel Chew
    Asia #1 Forex Mentor from www.asiaforexmentor.com

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    khushii89 (08-19-2013), satishfx (10-13-2012)

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  4. #2
    Senior Member yogesh is a glorious beacon of light yogesh is a glorious beacon of light yogesh is a glorious beacon of light yogesh is a glorious beacon of light yogesh is a glorious beacon of light yogesh's Avatar
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    My winning probability is more often i can win 9 out of 10 trades but that does not mean i am really making big profit but this is because i use big stop loss and lower target - that make me have more wins. But though the losses are rare but bigger.

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    Senior Member featurelion is on a distinguished road featurelion's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by yogesh View Post
    My winning probability is more often i can win 9 out of 10 trades but that does not mean i am really making big profit but this is because i use big stop loss and lower target - that make me have more wins. But though the losses are rare but bigger.
    is ka metlab yeh hua k aap k winnig pips kem hey. wesay pips for me not matter . meri strategy k mutabik 100 pips is enough in the month becuase 100 pips sey ager aap ka capital beda hey to aap 1000$- even more bhi earn ker sektay ho jo meray khyaal se bhadia profit hey

  6. #4
    Banned da2ng1 is an unknown quantity at this point da2ng1's Avatar
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    my wining probability is 100% from my invest in one month, i have do that because i follow my strategy and my rule with disipline. i larn about movement maket trading befor take open position.

  7. #5
    Senior Member anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh's Avatar
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    shuru ke dino me meri winning probability bahut kam hua karti thi..bas 25-30% deals hi profit diya karti thi baki lsos me jati thi
    lekin fir aur studies aur analysis ke bad mujhe smajh me aaya ki experience ka bahut abda role hota hai forex me aur fir jaise jaise mera experience badta gaya meri profit ki probability 80% se bhi zada ho gayi

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  9. #6
    Senior Member anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh is a name known to all anubhavsingh's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nanda View Post
    My winning probability is more often i can win 9 out of 10 trades but that does not mean i am really making big profit but this is because i use big stop loss and lower target - that make me have more wins. But though the losses are rare but bigger.
    agar aapki winning probability 9 out of 10 hai to ap bahut hi ache trade hai kyunki forex me aisa suces rate hona bahut badi baat hoti hai
    forex traders ke liye forex ma lagatar profit kamana bahut mushkil hota hai kyunki ye market bahut zada unpredictable hai aur isme loss ke hone chances bhi bahut zada rehte hai

  10. #7
    Banned ishvara is a splendid one to behold ishvara is a splendid one to behold ishvara is a splendid one to behold ishvara is a splendid one to behold ishvara is a splendid one to behold ishvara is a splendid one to behold ishvara's Avatar
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    My winning probability in forex currency exchange trading is not too high, sometimes it can move from 65% success ratio and get downwards. It now depends on the trader to try and then increase their winning trades and make money from it.

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    Banned greentrader is an unknown quantity at this point greentrader's Avatar
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    My risk and ratio is was 1:2 or 1:3, if it does not meet these criteria I never go to the market. All this is enough to make me comfortable in the trade, low stress trading buddy

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    Yes this winning probability is also important in the forex trading. If we are doing forex trading then we should know that how many trades we are winning and how many loosing. In the forex trading the aim of a trader is always winning , he want to win every time in the market. If we want to know the status of our probability for that we have to check in demo account. The trader spends some days for winning several trades in the market but he lost them all in a single trade. This happens due to the trader taking very low risk ratio.

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  14. #10
    Junior Member HakunaRilious is an unknown quantity at this point HakunaRilious's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by greentrader View Post
    My risk and ratio is was 1:2 or 1:3, if it does not meet these criteria I never go to the market. All this is enough to make me comfortable in the trade, low stress trading buddy
    What method are you using ?? Is it scalping or intraday because i assume those are best for scalping and its enough to make a market go wild and trust me you will have a low stress in trading.

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