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Thread: Daily News By XtreamForex

  1. #31
    Junior Member JIMMYFOREX is on a distinguished road JIMMYFOREX's Avatar
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    Technical Overview of USD/CHF and EUR/USD Currency Pair

    USD CHF

    The USD traded higher against the CHF and closed at 0.9897.

    1 - Fundamentally the pair to follow Risk Aversion.
    2 - It stalls in between the previous week value area HIGH & LOW.
    3 - The VPOC level is in confluence with Quarterly Pivot.
    4 - The Pair formed a Motherbar Insidebar @ Previous Week Mother Bar Inside Bar Value Area High and Low.
    5 - The pair has been in a series of LH and LL.
    6 - Fundamentally USD has to be weak because of 2 rate cuts expected this year.
    7 - Its advised to trade the Value area High and Low as support/resistance until a market profile P/D/B shape is formed.
    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 0.98808, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.98647. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.99164, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.99359.
    USD CHF Previous Day range was 35.6 and Current Day Range is 13.5.

    EUR USD

    The EUR traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.1311.

    1 - Fundamentally the pair to follow Risk Aversion.
    2 - The Pair formed a Motherbar Insidebar @ Previous Week Mother bar Inside Bar.
    3 - It’s in tight range of previous week Value area High and Quarter Pivot.
    4 - The pair has been in a series of HH and HL.
    5 - As we can see that the pair has shifted its direction to Higher Highs in the weekly Pivots.
    6 - Fundamentally USD has to be weak because of 2 rate cuts expected this year.

    According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.12906, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.12699. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.13314, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.13515.

    EUR USD Previous Day range was 40.8 and Current Day Range is 15.

    Morning Briefing

    1 - The dollar gained on Monday after the United States and Mexico reached a deal to avoid tariffs.
    2 - Euro faltered after sources said European Central Bank policymakers were open to cutting interest rates should economic growth slow.
    3 - RBA to cut rates in August meeting.
    4 - BoC on hold for now with the next move in rates likely up.
    5 - More EUR/USD Short Covering Likely Within 1.1280 - 1.1380 Ranges.

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  3. #32
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    USD JPY

    The USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 111.482.

    According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 111.271, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 111.060. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 111.632, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 111.782.

    USD JPY previous day range was 3610 and current day range is 1630.

  4. #33
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    Technical Overview of USD Dollar Index

    USD Dollar Index

    Here we see a very interesting scenario that
    1 - USD Index is in a range, the range continues buy Pound Swissie and Euro.
    All the above mentioned pairs share the same formations.
    2 - A Motherbar/Insidebar found @ D1 time frame.
    3 - Stalls @ the Year Resistance 1.
    4 - Already achieved the 200% Extensions.
    5 - Stalls @ Pivot Quarter 1 as a Support
    6 - The Motherbar/Insidebar @ the Pivot support and resistances
    7 - The most important reason for this range is the mixed data from USD. Like rate cuts and positive economic data.
    8 - The CPI data is expected today.
    Keep in mind that it’s correlated with PPI data.
    Detailed Historical data Analysis shows that the Moving average of Period 2 has a downwards slope in CPI and PPI.

    According to the Analysis, The Dollar Index is expected to find support at 96.433, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 96.333. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 96.683, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 96.833.

    For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

  5. #34
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    Technical Overview of USD/CNH Currency Pair

    USD CNH

    USD traded higher against CNH and closed at 6.9286
    G-20 Meeting Ahead on 28th June for US China Issues!

    4 Possible outcomes at the coming G20 meeting:
    (1) President Xi does not show at the G20 and the US imposes more tariffs - USDCNH likely breaks 7.00 fairly quickly.
    (2) Xi and Trump meet but talks do not go well and US threatens further tariffs - USDCNH likely breaks 7.00 but more gradually.
    (3) Status quo scenario: Xi and Trump meet, agree to disagree, tariffs go up as planned but USDCNH likely tests 7.00 later in July.
    (4) Max bull scenario: Xi and Trump meet, agree to re-start negotiations in coming weeks, risk bounces, USDCNH to 6.80-85.

    According to the Analysis, The USD/CNH is expected to find support at 6.92356, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 6.91848. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 6.93474, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 6.94084.

    For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

  6. #35
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    Daily Forex News By XtreamForex.com. Highlight of the Day: Due to Geo Political Risk Spikes EUR and the Pound Remain in the Spot Light

  7. #36
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    Technical Overview of AUD/USD, CHF/JPY, AUD/CAD and EUR/JPY Currency Pair

    AUD USD

    AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6869.
    1 - 1 month long consolidation 0.6850-0.7000 threatens to be below because of the rate cut news.
    2 - RBA will be cutting rates to 0.75% till November.
    3 - On a daily chart we see a perfect resistance trend line indicating a downwards movement
    4 - On daily chart the 1Month long support level can be seen
    5 - The pair is below Yearly, Quarterly, Weekly and monthly pivots
    6 - We can expect a bearish sentiment in the AUD till November as we know there may be massive rate cuts (4) Max bull scenario: Xi and Trump meet, agree to re-start negotiations in coming weeks, risk bounces, USDCNH to 6.80-85.
    According to the Analysis, The AUD/USD is expected to find support at 0.68478, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.68260. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.69046, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.69396.

    CHF JPY

    CHF traded lower against JPY and closed at 108.654.
    As we already see that market is in a risk aversion state. There is more room for USDJPY to do down. China and Russia are shaking hands against USD, This may strengthen the CHY and devaluate the USD.
    Keep in mind that now a day’s its only fundamentals that are playing in the market. In my opinion The strong currencies are JPY CHF CNY and Weak are USD GBP AUD.

    According to the Analysis, The CHF/JPY is expected to find support at 108.384, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.113. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.020, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.385.

    AUD CAD

    AUD traded higher against CAD and closed at 0.9212.
    Fundamentally we know that AUD is weaker due to 2 rate cuts expected in 2019 and low to 0.75% basis points. Hence we can compare it with the strength of CAD.
    Here we see that the pair has found a support at the low from 01.03.2019.
    As this is a very major support and has been the low of last year, we may expect a short term bounce but the Fundamental bias is towards South.

    According to the Analysis, The CHF/JPY is expected to find support at 0.91924, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.91728. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.92257, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.92394.

    EUR JPY

    EUR traded higher against JPY and closed at 121.677.
    Risk Aversion is an open secret now. We all know that the investors are after the strength of CHF and JPY. Here in the EURJPY we see 5 bullish candles moving ahead to the 5-day ADR
    Monthly Pivot
    Weekly Pivot
    So, we can expect a breakout from the ADR high or
    A low volume test candle signaling a bearish continuation.

    According to the Analysis, The EUR/JPY is expected to find support at 121.422, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 121.168. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 122.095, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 122.514.

    Fundamentals of the Day

    BCC announced that it may see a slowed growth in the British Chamber of Commerce.
    As this announcement may have a negative impact on the GBP, Its advised to stay short on GBP.

    The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, announced on Monday that the second phase of a cut in the reserve requirement ratio. This process is adapted by economies who want to stabilize their economy. Keep in mind that there is G-20 Meeting ahead, that’s why China is Stabilizing itself to face any sort of bad effect of the meeting.

    For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

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  9. #37
    Junior Member JIMMYFOREX is on a distinguished road JIMMYFOREX's Avatar
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    Technical Overview of EUR/USD, USD/JPY and EUR/JPY Currency Pair

    EUR USD

    EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1193.
    Long-term trend: Down
    EUR USD still moving within 8 years of falling trend channel.

    Short-term trend: Neutral
    Breaking below solid support around 1.1220.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.11686, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.11442. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.12301, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.12672.

    USD JPY

    USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 108.442.
    Long-term trend: Down
    On the verge of completing a large triangle on the downside.

    Short-term trend: Down
    Developing a bear flag formation, indicating a continuation of the downtrend.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 108.108, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 107.774. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 108.726, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.010.

    EUR JPY

    EUR traded lower against JPY and closed at 121.376.
    Long-term trend: Down
    A test of the solid horizontal support around 111.95 should be expected.

    Short-term trend: Down
    The picture is weakening, waiting for a break below the crucial support around 120.90.

    According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 121.003, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 120.629. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 121.808, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 122.239.

    Key Fundamentals of the Day
    G10: Markets Consolidate Ahead Of FOMC; AUD/NZD: Downside
    FX market is likely to consolidate ahead of the Fed
    While flagging a scope for further downside in AUD/NZD
    In anticipation of another RBA cut.
    At the central bank coming policy meeting.

    Trump comments on Trade War
    The US President Donald Trump announced on Tuesday that the US and Chinese trade talk teams will restart talks ahead of the G20 summit.
    This could result in a down fall in the USD/CNH Pair

    Facebook goes into cryptocurrencies
    On Tuesday, it was announced by Facebook that the company plans to launch its Cryptocurrency, which is named Libra.
    Moreover, the social network will offer crypto wallets named Calibra.

    For Detailed analysis visit XtreamForex YouTube Channel.

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